{"id":343037,"date":"2024-03-07T12:13:04","date_gmt":"2024-03-07T11:13:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/2024\/03\/07\/ingresso-ucraina-ue-vantaggio\/"},"modified":"2024-03-12T15:51:05","modified_gmt":"2024-03-12T14:51:05","slug":"ukraines-entry-into-the-eu-would-not-only-benefit-kyiv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/2024\/03\/07\/ukraines-entry-into-the-eu-would-not-only-benefit-kyiv\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine’s entry into the EU is not just a benefit for Kyiv"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brussels – Costs, sure, but also benefits, and not insignificant ones. The European Union’s political choice to bring Eastern countries into the EU\u00a0is decisive and dictated by geopolitical reasons and a Russian conflict in Ukraine that has inevitably reshaped logic and strategies. It also triggered\u00a0thoughts on what and how the European Union will change. Making early calculations is a policy brief of the Bruegel<\/a>\u00a0think tank about Ukraine’s entry into the club.<\/span><\/span><\/span> It first points out that “the net cost of Ukraine’s entry into the EU for the current member countries would amount to 136 billion euros<\/strong>\u00a0at\u00a0current prices in the period from 2021 to 2027, which is\u00a00.13 percent of EU GDP\u00a0(Gross Domestic Product) over the same period.”<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

It may seem like a high figure, but Bruegel calculations\u00a0show that\u00a0the overall size of the impact of Ukrainian EU membership on the 2021-2027 Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) would\u00a0increase from 1,12 percent of GDP to 1.20 percent<\/strong>\u00a0in the baseline scenario, which assumes that Ukraine regains its territorial integrity and that<\/span><\/span> the war has no long-term impact on the country’s population or GDP. In addition, most net payers would need to contribute about 0.1 percent more<\/strong> of their GDP to the EU budget. Figures that are certainly not exorbitant.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

However, this is an estimate and a preliminary one at that. The brief underlines that this is\u00a0“the baseline scenario.” Having an idea of what Ukraine’s full membership may mean in economic terms is not simple at the moment because there are so many unknowns, foremost\u00a0the country’s borders. Pre-conflict Ukraine or Ukraine without Donbas?<\/p>\n

Change in cohesion policy<\/strong><\/h3>\n

What is certain is that\u00a0the current member states would lose some funding in an expanded Ukraine<\/strong> scenario. Bruegel estimates that the Twenty-Seven countries “would receive \u20ac24 billion less<\/strong> in cohesion funding\u00a0than in the current situation\u00a0without Ukraine. The reason for this multi-billion loss is that Kyiv’s entry would reduce the EU’s average Gross National Income per capita, which is an indicator of the allocation of funds. The problem is not new, so much so that\u00a0the EU Commission’s expert group has already warned the Commission that more funds will be needed in the future<\/a>. For Italy, the Mezzogiorno and funding for\u00a0Southern regions are at stake; definitely\u00a0not a small matter.
\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

What Ukraine can achieve<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Net of membership in the European Union, Ukraine can have economic returns from its\u00a0membership. Specifically, according to preliminary calculations, Kyiv <\/strong>would gain \u20ac32 billion in cohesion policy payments, 85 billion euros in Common Agricultural Policy<\/strong> (CAP) payments, and 7 billion euros in payments from other EU programs (all numbers are at\u00a0current prices and refer to the entire\u00a02021-2027 MFF).<\/span><\/span> European public administration spending could increase by \u20ac4 billion, while the EU would save about \u20ac2 billion on funds currently allocated to its neighbors.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

The benefits for the EU<\/strong><\/h3>\n

A larger EU with Ukraine in it\u00a0would certainly be good for Kyiv. But what does the EU gain from this enlargement? According to Bruegel,\u00a0the\u00a0integration of Ukrainian workers into the EU labor markets would reduce the dramatic labor shortage<\/strong> in the Union.\u00a0In addition,<\/span><\/span> the\u00a0accession would improve the EU’s energy security and could reduce energy costs. <\/span><\/span><\/strong>Looking at it from a regional perspective, Ukraine’s presence in the Union would stabilize the EU’s eastern neighborhood and increase the EU’s military and security capabilities.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bruegel think tank makes an initial cost-benefit estimate of enlargement. For the EU, the country’s accession implies a 136 billion euro expenditure, but has a whole series of returns<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":494,"featured_media":288686,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[25707],"tags":[25746,27162,26025,26958,25866,25972,27163,25789,26444],"class_list":["post-343037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world-politics","tag-bruegel-and","tag-budget-in","tag-coesione-en","tag-energy-en","tag-enlargement","tag-mff-2021-2027-en","tag-ukrainian-en-2","tag-work-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343037","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/494"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=343037"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343037\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":344141,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343037\/revisions\/344141"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/288686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=343037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=343037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}